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Trump calls service members on Thanksgiving

What will Trump say during his Thanksgiving call with service members?

Held

Thu, Nov 27

6:00 PM ET /

Trump

Other

Official transcript Remarks During a Video Conference and Question-and-Answer Session With United States Servicemembers and an Exchange With Reporters in Palm Beach, Florida

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

8 said 10 not said of 18 words

Not held 8 of 96 past Trump events

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Official transcripts · 427 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore39¢ All3/5 60% Official transcripts24/427 6% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All66/78 85% Official transcripts258/427 60% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All30/51 59% Official transcripts197/427 46% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore42¢ All38/48 79% Official transcripts216/427 51% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All1/8 13% Official transcripts20/427 5% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore56¢ All11/16 69% Official transcripts131/427 31% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All— Official transcripts27/427 6% —
YES Before startBefore50¢ All23/35 66% Official transcripts210/427 49% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All1/1 100% Official transcripts1/427 0% Y
YES Before startBefore39¢ All30/55 55% Official transcripts106/427 25% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All8/15 53% Official transcripts127/427 30% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All17/29 59% Official transcripts132/427 31% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All— Official transcripts44/427 10% —
NO Before startBefore58¢ All9/18 50% Official transcripts91/427 21% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore34¢ All38/48 79% Official transcripts231/427 54% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All21/23 91% Official transcripts203/427 48% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore66¢ All0/1 0% Official transcripts27/427 6% N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All3/16 19% Official transcripts38/427 9% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official transcripts: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of his call with Service Members, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the his call with Service Members will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the his call with Service Members will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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