mentions

Trump hosts dinner with Central Asian Countries

What will Trump say during his dinner with Central Asian Countries?

Held

Thu, Nov 6

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Working Dinner With Leaders of Central Asian Countries and an Exchange With Reporters

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Also now Trump +1 later

14 said 12 not said of 26 words

Not held 5 of 77 past Trump events, 2 of 44 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 208 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore25¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies48/208 23% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore63¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/208 7% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore46¢ All52/62 84% Speeches / ceremonies32/37 86% Official speeches / ceremonies137/208 66% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore72¢ All28/42 67% Speeches / ceremonies18/25 72% Official speeches / ceremonies114/208 55% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All2/8 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies21/208 10% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All30/35 86% Speeches / ceremonies21/26 81% Official speeches / ceremonies116/208 56% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies26/208 13% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All2/16 13% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies12/208 6% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All19/26 73% Speeches / ceremonies10/15 67% Official speeches / ceremonies99/208 48% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore48¢ All6/9 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies67/208 32% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore60¢ All16/23 70% Speeches / ceremonies10/14 71% Official speeches / ceremonies120/208 58% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All14/19 74% Speeches / ceremonies8/8 100% Official speeches / ceremonies82/208 39% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All24/39 62% Speeches / ceremonies19/22 86% Official speeches / ceremonies71/208 34% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All9/15 60% Speeches / ceremonies7/8 88% Official speeches / ceremonies78/208 38% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All8/11 73% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Official speeches / ceremonies70/208 34% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All6/9 67% Speeches / ceremonies4/4 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies82/208 39% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore73¢ All19/29 66% Speeches / ceremonies10/16 63% Official speeches / ceremonies63/208 30% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All5/17 29% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies64/208 31% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore73¢ All12/29 41% Speeches / ceremonies7/16 44% Official speeches / ceremonies71/208 34% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All8/12 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies52/208 25% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies29/208 14% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All11/23 48% Speeches / ceremonies6/13 46% Official speeches / ceremonies99/208 48% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore33¢ All11/29 38% Speeches / ceremonies5/16 31% Official speeches / ceremonies21/208 10% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All28/34 82% Speeches / ceremonies17/18 94% Official speeches / ceremonies115/208 55% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore82¢ All9/10 90% Speeches / ceremonies7/8 88% Official speeches / ceremonies112/208 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All4/13 31% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies55/208 26% N N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • *To be clear, this event is separate from the Oval Office Multilateral Meetings with Central Asian Countries; this market will resolve based on the East Room Dinner with Central Asian Countries.*

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Dinner with Central Asian Countries, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Dinner with Central Asian Countries will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Dinner with Central Asian Countries will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no. *To be clear, this event is separate from the Oval Office Multilateral Meetings with Central Asian Countries; this market will resolve based on the East Room Dinner with Central Asian Countries.*

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