mentions

JD Vance joins Jesse Watters Primetime

What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Jesse Watters Primetime?

Held

Mon, Jun 8

8:00 PM ET /

JD Vance

Interview

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Also now Trump +2 later

10 said 8 not said of 18 words

Not held 3 of 39 past JD Vance events, 0 of 9 interviews

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Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore54¢ All10/16 63% Interviews1/4 25% small n N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All2/20 10% Interviews0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All23/31 74% Interviews7/8 88% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All8/11 73% Interviews3/3 100% small n Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All0/1 0% Interviews— N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All18/24 75% Interviews4/6 67% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore75¢ All6/12 50% Interviews3/4 75% small n N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All11/16 69% Interviews2/5 40% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All7/17 41% Interviews2/6 33% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore57¢ All12/17 71% Interviews4/5 80% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All3/5 60% Interviews0/1 0% small n Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore78¢ All1/15 7% Interviews0/4 0% small n N N N N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All3/9 33% Interviews0/2 0% small n Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore52¢ All1/6 17% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All10/15 67% Interviews2/3 67% small n N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All7/17 41% Interviews4/5 80% N Y N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Fox News: Jesse Watters Primetime, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Fox News: Jesse Watters Primetime will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Jesse Watters Primetime will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker