mentions

JD Vance delivers remarks at Milbank Manufacturing Company

What will JD Vance say during his remarks at Milbank Manufacturing Company?

Held

Mon, May 18

12:00 PM ET /

JD Vance

Speech / ceremony

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Also now Trump +2 later

12 said 14 not said of 26 words

Not held 1 of 33 past JD Vance events, 1 of 18 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Speeches / ceremonies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore75¢ All8/13 62% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All1/17 6% Speeches / ceremonies0/10 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All2/18 11% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All10/14 71% Speeches / ceremonies8/11 73% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All22/28 79% Speeches / ceremonies11/14 79% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore32¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All16/21 76% Speeches / ceremonies11/13 85% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore67¢ All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n N N N N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All9/14 64% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All0/6 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n N N N N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All11/15 73% Speeches / ceremonies5/8 63% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All1/12 8% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies3/8 38% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore67¢ All8/10 80% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore56¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore24¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n N N N Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All3/12 25% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore40¢ All9/12 75% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore63¢ All5/17 29% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All6/14 43% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n N N N N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n N N Y N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n N N Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of remarks at Milbank Manufacturing Company, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the remarks at Milbank Manufacturing Company will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at Milbank Manufacturing Company will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker