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JD Vance holds Press Conference on Anti-Fraud Initiatives

What will JD Vance say during his Press Conference on Anti-Fraud Initiatives?

Held

Wed, May 13

2:00 PM ET /

JD Vance

Press conference

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

9 said 10 not said of 19 words

Not held 1 of 29 past JD Vance events, 0 of 3 press conferences

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Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Press conferences Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore55¢ All5/10 50% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All1/14 7% Press conferences1/1 100% small n N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore65¢ All18/24 75% Press conferences1/3 33% small n Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All5/8 63% Press conferences— N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All4/6 67% Press conferences2/2 100% small n N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore36¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences— N
YES Before startBefore78¢ All4/13 31% Press conferences1/2 50% small n N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore24¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences— N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All1/9 11% Press conferences1/1 100% small n N N N N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All1/4 25% Press conferences1/2 50% small n N N N Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All1/2 50% Press conferences— N Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All5/7 71% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore23¢ All0/2 0% Press conferences— N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences— N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All3/9 33% Press conferences— N N N N N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All7/9 78% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All5/11 45% Press conferences1/1 100% small n N N Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Press conferences. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Press Conference on Anti-Fraud Initiatives, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Press Conference on Anti-Fraud Initiatives will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Press Conference on Anti-Fraud Initiatives will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker