A case is a settled market worth learning from: what was said, how Kalshi settled it and the rule behind the result. The results come from Kalshi’s data. The reasons come from public sources or from traders’ reports; each case says which.
Confirmed the result is in Kalshi’s data and a public source confirms the reason.
Outcome only the result is in Kalshi’s data; the reason comes from traders’ reports and no public source confirms it.
Rule text no dispute: a clause of the rules worth knowing.
KXSECPRESSMENTION-26MAR31 covered the next White House press briefing, which was held on Mar 25, 2026; its markets settled that day, six days before the date in the ticker. KXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR07 covered the first livestream on Governor Hochul’s YouTube channel after Feb 23 and settled on Feb 26, more than a week before its ticker date. In both, the rules, not the title or the ticker, said which appearance counts.
Takeaway Read the event definition and trade the first appearance that fits it; the ticker date only marks the latest one.
Rule in forcethe next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles)event rules of Mar 25, 2026
Gianni Infantino’s market “Globe / Global” at the FIFA World Cup final draw on Dec 5, 2025 settled YES about half an hour after it closed. According to traders’ reports, the word was heard in a recorded video segment shown during the ceremony, not in his live speech; no public source confirms this. The event’s rules said nothing about recordings.
Takeaway When an event’s rules are silent on recordings, expect a clip played as part of the official show to count; the current terms say so. If the event’s rules exclude recordings, as some do (C13), they win.
Rule in forceVideo of the FIFA World Cup 2025 Final Draw will be primarily usedevent rules of Dec 5, 2025