mentions

Case library

A case is a settled market worth learning from: what was said, how Kalshi settled it and the rule behind the result. The results come from Kalshi’s data. The reasons come from public sources or from traders’ reports; each case says which.

  • Confirmed the result is in Kalshi’s data and a public source confirms the reason.
  • Outcome only the result is in Kalshi’s data; the reason comes from traders’ reports and no public source confirms it.
  • Rule text no dispute: a clause of the rules worth knowing.
All topics 9 Plural and possessive 1 Slash alternatives 0 Compounds 0 Other word forms 2 Numbers 1 Recordings and clips 1 What part counts 4 Events that do not qualify 2 Dates and deadlines 1 Sources and rule changes 1
All speakers 1 Trump 1 Press Secretary 0 JD Vance 0 Zohran Mamdani 0 Bernie Sanders 0 Other speakers 0

1 case

“Next White House livestream” meant the first stream on one channel after a set time

Aug 17, 2026 Confirmed Trump

Events Trump greets Lifeguard Ryder Williams, Trump delivers remarks in New York

Words Iran (3+ times), Hormuz

Trump greets Lifeguard Ryder Williams

Trump delivers remarks in New York

The event covered the first livestream on the White House YouTube channel after 10:35 pm ET on Aug 12, 2026, leaving out Trump’s remarks in Nassau County, which Kalshi listed as a separate event. By Kalshi’s own schedule the qualifying stream came on Aug 17, an Oval Office greeting, and the markets settled that afternoon. “Iran (3+ times)” settled YES; “Hormuz” settled NO, and in the official transcript of that greeting only reporters say it.

Takeaway For a “next livestream” event, watch the named channel from the stated time; a carved-out event settles only its own markets. Words in reporters’ questions do not count.

Rule in force first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after August 12th, 2026 event rules of Aug 17, 2026

Dates and deadlines What part counts Sources and rule changes