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Trump delivers remarks in New York

What will Trump say during his remarks in New York?

Held

Fri, Aug 14

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Law Enforcement in Garden City, New York

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance

27 said 12 not said of 39 words

Not held 26 of 304 past Trump events, 11 of 170 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 375 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore67¢ All12/61 20% Speeches / ceremonies11/35 31% Official speeches / ceremonies61/375 16% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore38¢ All48/123 39% Speeches / ceremonies33/67 49% Official speeches / ceremonies117/375 31% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All18/56 32% Speeches / ceremonies9/33 27% Official speeches / ceremonies49/375 13% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore45¢ All23/61 38% Speeches / ceremonies16/35 46% Official speeches / ceremonies45/375 12% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All188/253 74% Speeches / ceremonies105/144 73% Official speeches / ceremonies240/375 64% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All8/64 13% Speeches / ceremonies2/29 7% Official speeches / ceremonies30/375 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All33/53 62% Speeches / ceremonies21/31 68% Official speeches / ceremonies198/375 53% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All23/51 45% Speeches / ceremonies13/24 54% Official speeches / ceremonies50/375 13% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All9/191 5% Speeches / ceremonies7/112 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/375 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies24/375 6% N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All7/9 78% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies71/375 19% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All49/91 54% Speeches / ceremonies28/51 55% Official speeches / ceremonies135/375 36% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All21/38 55% Speeches / ceremonies14/23 61% Official speeches / ceremonies161/375 43% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore79¢ All17/57 30% Speeches / ceremonies12/31 39% Official speeches / ceremonies66/375 18% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All17/31 55% Speeches / ceremonies13/21 62% Official speeches / ceremonies58/375 15% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All119/228 52% Speeches / ceremonies86/131 66% Official speeches / ceremonies152/375 41% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore95¢ All3/20 15% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies74/375 20% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All11/12 92% Speeches / ceremonies6/6 100% Official speeches / ceremonies178/375 47% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore28¢ All35/46 76% Speeches / ceremonies17/25 68% Official speeches / ceremonies103/375 27% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore39¢ All2/12 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/8 13% Official speeches / ceremonies44/375 12% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore77¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/375 1% —
NO Before startBefore8¢ All0/7 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/375 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All13/24 54% Speeches / ceremonies10/12 83% Official speeches / ceremonies80/375 21% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All6/26 23% Speeches / ceremonies4/15 27% Official speeches / ceremonies16/375 4% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All11/28 39% Speeches / ceremonies5/11 45% Official speeches / ceremonies87/375 23% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies4/8 50% Official speeches / ceremonies99/375 26% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All8/24 33% Speeches / ceremonies5/13 38% Official speeches / ceremonies63/375 17% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/375 0% —
YES Before startBefore87¢ All41/71 58% Speeches / ceremonies22/34 65% Official speeches / ceremonies183/375 49% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All33/74 45% Speeches / ceremonies22/42 52% Official speeches / ceremonies96/375 26% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore82¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies21/375 6% Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All18/37 49% Speeches / ceremonies5/13 38% Official speeches / ceremonies36/375 10% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All66/130 51% Speeches / ceremonies37/72 51% Official speeches / ceremonies104/375 28% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All23/57 40% Speeches / ceremonies17/38 45% Official speeches / ceremonies83/375 22% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All33/99 33% Speeches / ceremonies19/60 32% Official speeches / ceremonies81/375 22% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All7/11 64% Speeches / ceremonies6/9 67% Official speeches / ceremonies18/375 5% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All26/35 74% Speeches / ceremonies18/24 75% Official speeches / ceremonies119/375 32% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All8/24 33% Speeches / ceremonies5/17 29% Official speeches / ceremonies26/375 7% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore59¢ All0/10 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/9 0% Official speeches / ceremonies5/375 1% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks in Nassau County, New York, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks in Nassau County, New York will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks in Nassau County, New York will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker