mentions

Bernie speaks at NAN's March on Washington

What will Bernie say during March on Washington?

Held

Fri, Aug 28

12:00 PM ET /

Bernie Sanders

Other

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Also now Trump +2 later

10 said 6 not said of 16 words

Not held 1 of 36 past Bernie Sanders events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Bernie Sanders events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore80¢ All16/20 80% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All11/24 46% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All8/8 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore81¢ All18/28 64% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All5/5 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All10/13 77% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All13/13 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore19¢ All1/9 11% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore75¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore48¢ All3/5 60% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All11/22 50% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All6/13 46% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All2/3 67% Y Y N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All11/13 85% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore75¢ All4/5 80% Y Y Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Bernie Sanders events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Video of the NAN's March on Washington using the live broadcast or stream.
  • If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the NAN's March on Washington will be used.
  • The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
  • Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity.
  • For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of NAN's March on Washington, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the NAN's March on Washington using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the NAN's March on Washington will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker