mentions

Bernie speaks at Fighting Oligarchy rally in Bakersfield

What will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Held

Sun, Oct 4

9:00 PM ET /

Bernie Sanders

Rally

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

11 said 11 not said of 22 words

Not held 1 of 39 past Bernie Sanders events, 1 of 22 rallies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Bernie Sanders events Rallies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore29¢ All11/27 41% Rallies8/17 47% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All15/16 94% Rallies11/11 100% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All1/17 6% Rallies0/9 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All14/24 58% Rallies9/17 53% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore63¢ All20/31 65% Rallies12/18 67% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore97¢ All24/26 92% Rallies15/16 94% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All1/16 6% Rallies0/10 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All— Rallies— —
YES Before startBefore15¢ All2/12 17% Rallies0/5 0% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore65¢ All0/3 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N N N
YES Before startBefore57¢ All6/8 75% Rallies4/5 80% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All1/2 50% Rallies0/1 0% small n N Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All12/25 48% Rallies7/15 47% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore69¢ All22/28 79% Rallies15/17 88% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All7/16 44% Rallies6/13 46% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All12/25 48% Rallies8/17 47% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All1/11 9% Rallies0/7 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All1/5 20% Rallies1/5 20% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All3/3 100% Rallies3/3 100% small n Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All4/5 80% Rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore65¢ All15/16 94% Rallies10/10 100% Y Y Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Bernie Sanders events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally originally scheduled for October 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker