What will Trump say during the The President's Announcement?

Held

Time TBA

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Also now Trump +2 later

17 said 8 not said of 25 words

Not held 2 of 25 past Trump events, 0 of 13 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 150 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore— All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies37/150 25% N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies36/150 24% —
NO Before startBefore— All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies25/150 17% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All14/15 93% Speeches / ceremonies9/10 90% Official speeches / ceremonies98/150 65% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies29/150 19% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore— All10/11 91% Speeches / ceremonies8/9 89% Official speeches / ceremonies86/150 57% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies31/150 21% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/150 6% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/150 3% —
NO Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies36/150 24% Y
YES Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies43/150 29% Y
YES Before startBefore— All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies34/150 23% Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies41/150 27% N Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies32/150 21% —
NO Before startBefore— All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies15/150 10% N N
YES Before startBefore— All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies37/150 25% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies53/150 35% Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/150 1% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies140/150 93% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/150 8% —
YES Before startBefore— All6/8 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies39/150 26% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/150 3% Y N
YES Before startBefore— All9/9 100% Speeches / ceremonies4/4 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies81/150 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/150 9% Y N
NO Before startBefore— All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies69/150 46% Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • If the event does not occur before Aug 6, 2025, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of The President's Announcement originally scheduled for 4:30PM ET on August 6, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The President's Announcement originally scheduled for 4:30PM ET on August 6 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the The President's Announcement originally scheduled for 4:30PM ET on August 6 will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If the event does not occur before Aug 6, 2025, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.