What will Trump say during the “Winning the AI Race" event?

Held

Time TBA

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Also now Trump +2 later

16 said 9 not said of 25 words

Not held 2 of 22 past Trump events, 0 of 11 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 142 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies24/142 17% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/142 1% —
YES Before startBefore— All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies21/142 15% Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All12/13 92% Speeches / ceremonies8/9 89% Official speeches / ceremonies94/142 66% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/142 3% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/142 0% —
YES Before startBefore— All7/8 88% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Official speeches / ceremonies81/142 57% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/142 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/142 6% —
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/142 7% N
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies23/142 16% —
YES Before startBefore— All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies53/142 37% Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/142 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/142 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/142 1% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/142 5% —
YES Before startBefore— All5/6 83% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/142 25% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies7/142 5% N
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/142 0% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies49/142 35% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies27/142 19% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies16/142 11% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/142 8% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/142 0% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies6/142 4% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • If the event does not occur before Jul 22, 2025, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of his speech during the “Winning the AI Race" event on July 23, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the his speech during the “Winning the AI Race" event on July 23 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the his speech during the “Winning the AI Race" event on July 23 will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If the event does not occur before Jul 22, 2025, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.