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What will Trump say during the Address to the Nation

Held

Time TBA

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Also now JD Vance +1 later

9 said 15 not said of 24 words

Not held 1 of 15 past Trump events, 0 of 8 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 125 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies34/125 27% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies106/125 85% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/125 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/125 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies15/125 12% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/125 3% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/125 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/125 3% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies21/125 17% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies31/125 25% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/125 0% —
YES Before startBefore— All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies33/125 26% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/125 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies25/125 20% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/125 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies11/125 9% —
YES Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/125 22% N Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies36/125 29% —
NO Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies63/125 50% N Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies17/125 14% N
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies69/125 55% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/125 7% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies35/125 28% —
NO Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies78/125 62% Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • If the event does not occur before Jun 21, 2025, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of Address to the Nation Originally scheduled for 10 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Address to the Nation Originally scheduled for 10 PM ET will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Address to the Nation Originally scheduled for 10 PM ET will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If the event does not occur before Jun 21, 2025, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.