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Trump Speech in Israel

What will Trump say during his speech in Israel?

Held

Mon, Oct 13

4:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks to the Knesset in Jerusalem, Israel

Also now ABC World News +1 later

13 said 5 not said of 18 words

Not held 2 of 48 past Trump events, 0 of 27 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 186 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore65¢ All32/36 89% Speeches / ceremonies19/22 86% Official speeches / ceremonies124/186 67% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies14/186 8% N N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies34/186 18% Y N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/186 9% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore75¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies10/186 5% —
YES Before startBefore28¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/186 5% —
YES Before startBefore82¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies20/186 11% —
YES Before startBefore33¢ All10/14 71% Speeches / ceremonies7/8 88% Official speeches / ceremonies58/186 31% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies104/186 56% —
NO Before startBefore32¢ All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies40/186 22% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies20/186 11% N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All13/18 72% Speeches / ceremonies6/9 67% Official speeches / ceremonies56/186 30% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies34/186 18% —
NO Before startBefore22¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/186 1% N N N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies23/186 12% —
YES Before startBefore70¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies34/186 18% N Y Y
YES Before startBefore43¢ All5/12 42% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies75/186 40% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore23¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/186 20% Y N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Speech in Israel on October 13th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Speech in Israel on October 13th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Speech in Israel on October 13th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.