mentions

Trump Bilateral with Prime Minister of Australia

What will Trump say during bilateral meeting with Prime Minister of Australia?

Held

Mon, Oct 20

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks Prior to a Working Lunch With Prime Minister Anthony Albanese of Australia and an Exchange With Reporters

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Also now Trump Trump +1 later

11 said 13 not said of 24 words

Not held 2 of 56 past Trump events, 0 of 9 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 69 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore56¢ All0/2 0% Meetings— Official meetings11/69 16% N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All40/44 91% Meetings7/7 100% Official meetings47/69 68% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All17/24 71% Meetings4/5 80% Official meetings35/69 51% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore49¢ All2/7 29% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings13/69 19% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore97¢ All18/22 82% Meetings3/3 100% small n Official meetings41/69 59% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore31¢ All1/4 25% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings7/69 10% N N Y N
NO Before startBefore74¢ All13/17 76% Meetings3/3 100% small n Official meetings32/69 46% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All5/7 71% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings29/69 42% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore55¢ All6/10 60% Meetings2/4 50% small n Official meetings20/69 29% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore50¢ All14/22 64% Meetings3/5 60% Official meetings12/69 17% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All0/6 0% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings4/69 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings0/69 0% —
NO Before startBefore56¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings12/69 17% Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All3/3 100% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings29/69 42% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All5/12 42% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings4/69 6% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All2/3 67% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings23/69 33% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore59¢ All8/17 47% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings34/69 49% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All2/4 50% Meetings2/3 67% small n Official meetings15/69 22% Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore82¢ All6/14 43% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings47/69 68% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All3/7 43% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings7/69 10% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore46¢ All7/15 47% Meetings4/5 80% Official meetings7/69 10% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings7/69 10% —
YES Before startBefore98¢ All19/23 83% Meetings5/5 100% Official meetings42/69 61% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All7/15 47% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings47/69 68% Y N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • This market will resolve based on the live televised or streamed events of the Bilateral meeting & lunch.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral meeting with Prime Minister of the Commonwealth of Australia on October 20th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bilateral meeting with Prime Minister of the Commonwealth of Australia on October 20th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Bilateral meeting with Prime Minister of the Commonwealth of Australia on October 20th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no. This market will resolve based on the live televised or streamed events of the Bilateral meeting & lunch.

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