What will Trump say during his Announcement today?

Held

Time TBA

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Also now Trump +2 later

14 said 19 not said of 33 words

Not held 2 of 31 past Trump events, 0 of 16 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 161 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All4/11 36% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% Official speeches / ceremonies28/161 17% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore— All19/21 90% Speeches / ceremonies12/13 92% Official speeches / ceremonies107/161 66% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All6/10 60% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies32/161 20% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All8/13 62% Speeches / ceremonies4/7 57% Official speeches / ceremonies89/161 55% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/161 4% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/161 8% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/161 6% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/161 2% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/161 1% —
YES Before startBefore— All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies54/161 34% N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies27/161 17% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/161 1% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies57/161 35% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies24/161 15% —
NO Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies54/161 34% Y N
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies54/161 34% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies37/161 23% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/161 7% —
YES Before startBefore— All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies40/161 25% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies16/161 10% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies28/161 17% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/161 0% —
YES Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies19/161 12% N
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/161 5% —
YES Before startBefore— All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies54/161 34% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies6/161 4% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/161 2% —
YES Before startBefore— All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies78/161 48% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/161 5% —
NO Before startBefore— All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies71/161 44% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All4/6 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies65/161 40% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies28/161 17% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies17/161 11% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of Announcement in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 2:00 pm ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 2:00 pm ET will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Announcement in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 2:00 pm ET will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.