mentions

Trump visits troops on USS George Washington

What will Trump say during the troop visit on USS George Washington?

Held

Tue, Oct 28

2:30 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks to United States Servicemembers With Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi of Japan in Yokosuko, Japan

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Also now Trump +2 later

12 said 10 not said of 22 words

Not held 2 of 65 past Trump events, 0 of 36 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 199 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore58¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies45/199 23% Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies27/199 14% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All45/53 85% Speeches / ceremonies27/31 87% Official speeches / ceremonies132/199 66% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All21/33 64% Speeches / ceremonies13/19 68% Official speeches / ceremonies110/199 55% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore74¢ All24/28 86% Speeches / ceremonies16/20 80% Official speeches / ceremonies111/199 56% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All15/21 71% Speeches / ceremonies8/12 67% Official speeches / ceremonies96/199 48% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All1/7 14% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies14/199 7% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore40¢ All7/14 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies74/199 37% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore49¢ All12/18 67% Speeches / ceremonies6/9 67% Official speeches / ceremonies114/199 57% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All18/30 60% Speeches / ceremonies13/16 81% Official speeches / ceremonies65/199 33% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies29/199 15% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore41¢ All9/11 82% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies61/199 31% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All5/7 71% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies65/199 33% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All16/25 64% Speeches / ceremonies7/12 58% Official speeches / ceremonies59/199 30% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/199 0% N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All10/24 42% Speeches / ceremonies5/12 42% Official speeches / ceremonies68/199 34% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All9/20 45% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies95/199 48% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All10/23 43% Speeches / ceremonies4/11 36% Official speeches / ceremonies19/199 10% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore43¢ All23/29 79% Speeches / ceremonies13/14 93% Official speeches / ceremonies108/199 54% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All10/19 53% Speeches / ceremonies5/12 42% Official speeches / ceremonies79/199 40% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies37/199 19% N N
YES Before startBefore59¢ All3/10 30% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies52/199 26% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Troop Visit and Remarks on the USS George Washington, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Troop Visit and Remarks on the USS George Washington will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Troop Visit and Remarks on the USS George Washington will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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