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Trump ends the government shutdown

What will Trump say during his shutdown end announcement?

Held

Wed, Nov 12

9:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Signing the Continuing Appropriations, Agriculture, Legislative Branch, Military Construction and Veterans Affairs, and Extensions Act, 2026

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

9 said 14 not said of 23 words

Not held 7 of 85 past Trump events, 3 of 48 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 215 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies15/215 7% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All58/68 85% Speeches / ceremonies35/40 88% Official speeches / ceremonies141/215 66% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All34/40 85% Speeches / ceremonies23/29 79% Official speeches / ceremonies119/215 55% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies27/215 13% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All2/21 10% Speeches / ceremonies2/12 17% Official speeches / ceremonies12/215 6% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All21/29 72% Speeches / ceremonies11/17 65% Official speeches / ceremonies104/215 48% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All6/10 60% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies69/215 32% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All18/26 69% Speeches / ceremonies11/16 69% Official speeches / ceremonies123/215 57% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/215 0% N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies36/215 17% —
YES Before startBefore— All6/7 86% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies19/215 9% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All26/45 58% Speeches / ceremonies20/25 80% Official speeches / ceremonies73/215 34% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore— All6/15 40% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies30/215 14% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All13/20 65% Speeches / ceremonies9/10 90% Official speeches / ceremonies81/215 38% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/215 7% Y
YES Before startBefore— All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies84/215 39% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies39/215 18% N Y
NO Before startBefore— All8/13 62% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies52/215 24% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All5/16 31% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies12/215 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/215 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All33/39 85% Speeches / ceremonies20/21 95% Official speeches / ceremonies119/215 55% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All14/15 93% Speeches / ceremonies10/11 91% Official speeches / ceremonies116/215 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies117/215 54% Y Y Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of signing of Senate Amendment, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the signing of Senate Amendment will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the signing of Senate Amendment will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

All cases of this speaker