Trump makes an announcement

What will Trump say during the Announcement?

Held

Thu, Oct 23

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks in a Roundtable Discussion With the Homeland Security Task Force and an Exchange With Reporters

Also now Trump +2 later

10 said 12 not said of 22 words

Not held 2 of 61 past Trump events, 0 of 35 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 195 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore76¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/195 7% Y Y N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All44/49 90% Speeches / ceremonies26/30 87% Official speeches / ceremonies131/195 67% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore89¢ All19/29 66% Speeches / ceremonies12/18 67% Official speeches / ceremonies108/195 55% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All22/26 85% Speeches / ceremonies15/19 79% Official speeches / ceremonies109/195 56% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore20¢ All0/8 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies10/195 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore69¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies62/195 32% Y Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies14/195 7% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All6/10 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies73/195 37% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore51¢ All17/26 65% Speeches / ceremonies12/15 80% Official speeches / ceremonies63/195 32% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All6/14 43% Speeches / ceremonies0/6 0% Official speeches / ceremonies42/195 22% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All16/22 73% Speeches / ceremonies7/11 64% Official speeches / ceremonies59/195 30% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All5/15 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies61/195 31% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore62¢ All10/21 48% Speeches / ceremonies5/11 45% Official speeches / ceremonies68/195 35% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore83¢ All9/17 53% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Official speeches / ceremonies95/195 49% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore67¢ All1/14 7% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies22/195 11% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore47¢ All5/12 42% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies10/195 5% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore60¢ All9/20 45% Speeches / ceremonies3/10 30% Official speeches / ceremonies18/195 9% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/195 1% —
YES Before startBefore74¢ All22/26 85% Speeches / ceremonies12/13 92% Official speeches / ceremonies107/195 55% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/195 2% Y Y
NO Before startBefore76¢ All10/18 56% Speeches / ceremonies5/11 45% Official speeches / ceremonies79/195 41% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore70¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies52/195 27% N N N Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on October 23rd, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement on October 23rd will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Announcement on October 23rd will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.