mentions

Trump hosts Honors Medal Dinner

What will Trump say during the Honors Medal Dinner?

Held

Sat, Dec 6

8:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at the Kennedy Center Honors Dinner

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Also now Trump Trump +1 later

4 said 16 not said of 20 words

Not held 8 of 105 past Trump events, 4 of 59 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 227 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies60/227 26% —
NO Before startBefore22¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies66/227 29% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies39/227 17% N N
YES Before startBefore34¢ All71/86 83% Speeches / ceremonies40/49 82% Official speeches / ceremonies147/227 65% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies7/227 3% N N N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All41/55 75% Speeches / ceremonies28/37 76% Official speeches / ceremonies124/227 55% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All2/32 6% Speeches / ceremonies2/18 11% Official speeches / ceremonies12/227 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore35¢ All31/43 72% Speeches / ceremonies18/26 69% Official speeches / ceremonies112/227 49% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All12/21 57% Speeches / ceremonies6/11 55% Official speeches / ceremonies73/227 32% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All5/13 38% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% Official speeches / ceremonies67/227 30% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies100/227 44% —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All38/63 60% Speeches / ceremonies27/35 77% Official speeches / ceremonies80/227 35% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All10/19 53% Speeches / ceremonies7/12 58% Official speeches / ceremonies76/227 33% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies98/227 43% Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Official speeches / ceremonies30/227 13% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore41¢ All14/16 88% Speeches / ceremonies9/10 90% Official speeches / ceremonies78/227 34% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All10/21 48% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% Official speeches / ceremonies54/227 24% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/227 0% N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All43/57 75% Speeches / ceremonies25/31 81% Official speeches / ceremonies124/227 55% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All3/19 16% Speeches / ceremonies1/12 8% Official speeches / ceremonies28/227 12% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
  • Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
  • Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.
  • *Note this market does not count for the Oval Office Kennedy Center Honors Medal Presentation, there is a separate market on that event.*

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of State Department Kennedy Center Honors Medal Presentation Dinner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the State Department Kennedy Center Honors Medal Presentation Dinner will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the State Department Kennedy Center Honors Medal Presentation Dinner will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count. *Note this market does not count for the Oval Office Kennedy Center Honors Medal Presentation, there is a separate market on that event.*

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