mentions

Trump hosts Saudi Prince

What will Trump say during his meetings with Saudi Prince?

Held

Tue, Nov 18

10:00 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman bin Abd al-Aziz Al Saud of Saudi Arabia and an Exchange With Reporters

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Also now Trump +1 later

17 said 8 not said of 25 words

Not held 7 of 89 past Trump events, 2 of 17 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 79 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore— All2/2 100% Meetings— Official meetings7/79 9% Y Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All61/72 85% Meetings11/13 85% Official meetings51/79 65% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore34¢ All28/48 58% Meetings4/9 44% Official meetings37/79 47% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore56¢ All35/44 80% Meetings7/8 88% Official meetings46/79 58% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All5/10 50% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings7/79 9% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All2/25 8% Meetings0/5 0% Official meetings1/79 1% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All25/33 76% Meetings5/7 71% Official meetings35/79 44% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All8/13 62% Meetings2/3 67% small n Official meetings19/79 24% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore48¢ All19/30 63% Meetings5/8 63% Official meetings44/79 56% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings1/79 1% —
YES Before startBefore26¢ All1/8 13% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings5/79 6% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore40¢ All4/10 40% Meetings— Official meetings23/79 29% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore67¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings16/79 20% Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All7/9 78% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings7/79 9% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore37¢ All1/2 50% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings8/79 10% Y N
YES Before startBefore51¢ All26/49 53% Meetings5/11 45% Official meetings14/79 18% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All7/17 41% Meetings1/3 33% small n Official meetings7/79 9% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All14/24 58% Meetings3/7 43% Official meetings30/79 38% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore— All9/16 56% Meetings2/3 67% small n Official meetings25/79 32% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All22/34 65% Meetings5/7 71% Official meetings31/79 39% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore21¢ All8/16 50% Meetings2/4 50% small n Official meetings11/79 14% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All15/38 39% Meetings7/11 64% Official meetings10/79 13% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All0/2 0% Meetings— Official meetings0/79 0% N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All34/42 81% Meetings7/9 78% Official meetings46/79 58% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All17/19 89% Meetings3/3 100% small n Official meetings44/79 56% Y Y N Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • For the purpose of this market, the bilateral meeting, signing & lunch events will count.
  • If these events are not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of bilateral meeting, signing and lunch events with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the bilateral meeting, signing and lunch events with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the bilateral meeting, signing and lunch events with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the bilateral meeting, signing & lunch events will count. If these events are not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

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