Trump makes an annoucement

What will Trump say during his Announcement?

Held

Thu, Nov 6

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Efforts To Reduce Prescription Drug Costs and an Exchange With Reporters

Also now Trump +2 later

18 said 7 not said of 25 words

Not held 4 of 75 past Trump events, 1 of 42 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 208 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore78¢ All51/61 84% Speeches / ceremonies31/36 86% Official speeches / ceremonies137/208 66% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore54¢ All27/41 66% Speeches / ceremonies17/24 71% Official speeches / ceremonies114/208 55% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All29/34 85% Speeches / ceremonies20/25 80% Official speeches / ceremonies116/208 56% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies26/208 13% Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All2/15 13% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% Official speeches / ceremonies12/208 6% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/208 2% —
YES Before startBefore70¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/208 2% —
YES Before startBefore87¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/208 8% Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All23/38 61% Speeches / ceremonies18/21 86% Official speeches / ceremonies71/208 34% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies30/208 14% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All8/14 57% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Official speeches / ceremonies78/208 38% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies33/208 16% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All5/8 63% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies82/208 39% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/208 0% —
YES Before startBefore72¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/208 0% —
NO Before startBefore52¢ All5/14 36% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies12/208 6% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore82¢ All11/28 39% Speeches / ceremonies5/15 33% Official speeches / ceremonies21/208 10% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/208 3% —
NO Before startBefore51¢ All5/5 100% Speeches / ceremonies4/4 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/208 18% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies36/208 17% N N N N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All27/33 82% Speeches / ceremonies16/17 94% Official speeches / ceremonies115/208 55% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore69¢ All8/9 89% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Official speeches / ceremonies112/208 54% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/208 1% —
YES Before startBefore22¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/208 1% N Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All4/12 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies55/208 26% N Y N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on November 6th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement on November 6th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Announcement on November 6th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.