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Trump signs an Executive Order

What will Trump say during his executive order signing?

Not held (all words NO)

Mon, Nov 24

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump

0 said 22 not said of 22 words

Not held 7 of 94 past Trump events, 3 of 53 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 220 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore25¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/220 7% Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies64/220 29% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All65/77 84% Speeches / ceremonies38/45 84% Official speeches / ceremonies144/220 65% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies25/220 11% N Y
NO Before startBefore53¢ All38/48 79% Speeches / ceremonies26/34 76% Official speeches / ceremonies122/220 55% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All2/29 7% Speeches / ceremonies2/17 12% Official speeches / ceremonies12/220 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/220 2% —
NO Before startBefore43¢ All11/16 69% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies71/220 32% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All23/34 68% Speeches / ceremonies14/21 67% Official speeches / ceremonies126/220 57% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All2/13 15% Speeches / ceremonies0/8 0% Official speeches / ceremonies1/220 0% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All7/10 70% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies21/220 10% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/220 7% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All29/54 54% Speeches / ceremonies22/30 73% Official speeches / ceremonies75/220 34% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All8/14 57% Speeches / ceremonies6/9 67% Official speeches / ceremonies74/220 34% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All17/29 59% Speeches / ceremonies11/15 73% Official speeches / ceremonies83/220 38% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All10/20 50% Speeches / ceremonies5/10 50% Official speeches / ceremonies62/220 28% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/220 17% N Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies99/220 45% Y N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All14/31 45% Speeches / ceremonies8/17 47% Official speeches / ceremonies73/220 33% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All9/18 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies53/220 24% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All21/23 91% Speeches / ceremonies14/16 88% Official speeches / ceremonies120/220 55% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/220 6% N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Executive Order signing, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Executive Order signing will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Executive Order signing will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

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