mentions

Trump Fox News Interview

What will Trump say during his interview on Fox?

Held

Wed, Nov 5

6:00 PM ET /

Trump

Interview

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Also now Trump +1 later

9 said 15 not said of 24 words

Not held 4 of 74 past Trump events, 0 of 3 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore64¢ All3/6 50% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All50/60 83% Interviews2/2 100% small n Official interviews1/2 50% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore76¢ All27/40 68% Interviews2/2 100% small n Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All28/33 85% Interviews1/1 100% small n Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% Y
NO Before startBefore42¢ All2/14 14% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All1/4 25% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y
YES Before startBefore38¢ All2/3 67% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore78¢ All23/37 62% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All0/10 0% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore47¢ All6/10 60% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All7/13 54% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
NO Before startBefore54¢ All6/16 38% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All4/7 57% Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore54¢ All12/28 43% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All5/13 38% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore95¢ All11/27 41% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore73¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
YES Before startBefore71¢ All4/4 100% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All0/3 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All26/32 81% Interviews2/2 100% small n Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore65¢ All7/8 88% Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore54¢ All2/6 33% Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% Y N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
  • If an extended interview is released, additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
  • Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of interview on Special Report with Bret Baier, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the interview on Special Report with Bret Baier will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the interview on Special Report with Bret Baier will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. If an extended interview is released, additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

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