mentions

Trump hosts Diwali Celebration

What will Trump say during the Diwali Celebration?

Held

Tue, Oct 21

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a White House Diwali Celebration and an Exchange With Reporters

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Also now Trump +2 later

19 said 3 not said of 22 words

Not held 2 of 59 past Trump events, 0 of 34 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 193 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore44¢ All42/47 89% Speeches / ceremonies25/29 86% Official speeches / ceremonies129/193 67% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore29¢ All18/27 67% Speeches / ceremonies11/17 65% Official speeches / ceremonies106/193 55% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore43¢ All20/24 83% Speeches / ceremonies14/18 78% Official speeches / ceremonies107/193 55% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore45¢ All13/18 72% Speeches / ceremonies7/11 64% Official speeches / ceremonies93/193 48% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore41¢ All9/12 75% Speeches / ceremonies6/6 100% Official speeches / ceremonies75/193 39% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/193 0% —
YES Before startBefore34¢ All16/24 67% Speeches / ceremonies11/14 79% Official speeches / ceremonies61/193 32% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/193 15% Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All6/8 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies53/193 27% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/193 7% —
YES Before startBefore84¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/193 4% —
YES Before startBefore45¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies36/193 19% —
YES Before startBefore41¢ All3/13 23% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies60/193 31% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore18¢ All8/19 42% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies67/193 35% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore36¢ All7/15 47% Speeches / ceremonies3/8 38% Official speeches / ceremonies94/193 49% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore21¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies8/193 4% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore36¢ All8/18 44% Speeches / ceremonies3/9 33% Official speeches / ceremonies17/193 9% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All21/25 84% Speeches / ceremonies11/12 92% Official speeches / ceremonies105/193 54% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore30¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies84/193 44% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore38¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies102/193 53% Y N Y
YES Before startBefore19¢ All8/16 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies78/193 40% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies51/193 26% N N Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Diwali Celebration on October 21st, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Diwali Celebration on October 21st will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Diwali Celebration on October 21st will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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