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Trump-Starmer Bilateral

What will Trump say during the bilateral at Chequers?

Held

Thu, Sep 18

9:20 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript The President's News Conference With Prime Minister Keir Starmer of the United Kingdom in Buckinghamshire, United Kingdom

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

15 said 10 not said of 25 words

Not held 2 of 35 past Trump events, 0 of 3 meetings

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 54 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore32¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings11/54 20% —
YES Before startBefore72¢ All22/24 92% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings39/54 72% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore38¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings2/54 4% —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings0/54 0% N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings1/54 2% Y
NO Before startBefore38¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings0/54 0% Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All8/10 80% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings23/54 43% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings33/54 61% Y N
YES Before startBefore65¢ All2/4 50% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings24/54 44% Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings6/54 11% —
YES Before startBefore36¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings15/54 28% N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings7/54 13% —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings9/54 17% —
NO Before startBefore39¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings4/54 7% N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All3/5 60% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings24/54 44% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All8/12 67% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings22/54 41% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All2/4 50% Meetings— Official meetings11/54 20% N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore57¢ All6/9 67% Meetings— Official meetings28/54 52% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings3/54 6% —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings42/54 78% N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All1/8 13% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings11/54 20% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings0/54 0% —
YES Before startBefore71¢ All12/14 86% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings35/54 65% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All0/1 0% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings14/54 26% N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All2/3 67% Meetings— Official meetings12/54 22% Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of Trump-Starmer bilateral at Chequers on September 18th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Trump-Starmer bilateral at Chequers on September 18th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Trump-Starmer bilateral at Chequers on September 18th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.

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