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President Trump makes an announcement

What will Trump say during his announcement?

Held

Wed, Dec 3

2:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Fuel Efficiency Standards and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

15 said 11 not said of 26 words

Not held 8 of 100 past Trump events, 4 of 56 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 222 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore68¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/222 7% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All5/17 29% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies38/222 17% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/222 2% —
NO Before startBefore9¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/222 0% —
YES Before startBefore75¢ All40/51 78% Speeches / ceremonies27/35 77% Official speeches / ceremonies123/222 55% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore49¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/222 2% —
NO Before startBefore56¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies57/222 26% —
YES Before startBefore89¢ All30/38 79% Speeches / ceremonies17/23 74% Official speeches / ceremonies111/222 50% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies23/222 10% Y
YES Before startBefore53¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/222 0% —
YES Before startBefore92¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies40/222 18% —
NO Before startBefore48¢ All5/12 42% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies67/222 30% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies70/222 32% N
YES Before startBefore43¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/222 7% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All33/58 57% Speeches / ceremonies24/32 75% Official speeches / ceremonies77/222 35% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore57¢ All9/18 50% Speeches / ceremonies6/11 55% Official speeches / ceremonies74/222 33% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All18/31 58% Speeches / ceremonies12/16 75% Official speeches / ceremonies85/222 38% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/222 1% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All3/9 33% Speeches / ceremonies3/8 38% Official speeches / ceremonies30/222 14% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore45¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies62/222 28% N Y Y
YES Before startBefore18¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies59/222 27% —
NO Before startBefore33¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies18/222 8% —
NO Before startBefore30¢ All6/13 46% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies34/222 15% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies20/222 9% N N Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All41/52 79% Speeches / ceremonies24/28 86% Official speeches / ceremonies123/222 55% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All24/27 89% Speeches / ceremonies15/17 88% Official speeches / ceremonies122/222 55% Y Y N Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on December 3rd, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement on December 3rd will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Announcement on December 3rd will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

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