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Trump hosts a dinner

What will Trump say during his State Dining Room address?

Not held (all words NO)

Wed, Nov 12

7:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now ABC World News +1 later

0 said 23 not said of 23 words

Not held 6 of 84 past Trump events, 2 of 47 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 215 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore49¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies15/215 7% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore78¢ All58/68 85% Speeches / ceremonies35/40 88% Official speeches / ceremonies141/215 66% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All34/40 85% Speeches / ceremonies23/29 79% Official speeches / ceremonies119/215 55% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies27/215 13% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All2/21 10% Speeches / ceremonies2/12 17% Official speeches / ceremonies12/215 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore82¢ All21/29 72% Speeches / ceremonies11/17 65% Official speeches / ceremonies104/215 48% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All18/26 69% Speeches / ceremonies11/16 69% Official speeches / ceremonies123/215 57% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/215 0% N N N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies36/215 17% —
NO Before startBefore64¢ All26/45 58% Speeches / ceremonies20/25 80% Official speeches / ceremonies73/215 34% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All6/15 40% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies30/215 14% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore81¢ All13/20 65% Speeches / ceremonies9/10 90% Official speeches / ceremonies81/215 38% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/215 2% N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All9/14 64% Speeches / ceremonies7/9 78% Official speeches / ceremonies72/215 33% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore56¢ All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies84/215 39% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All8/13 62% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies52/215 24% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All6/13 46% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies32/215 15% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All5/16 31% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies12/215 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore79¢ All14/35 40% Speeches / ceremonies6/19 32% Official speeches / ceremonies23/215 11% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore72¢ All5/9 56% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies38/215 18% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore82¢ All33/39 85% Speeches / ceremonies20/21 95% Official speeches / ceremonies119/215 55% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore76¢ All14/15 93% Speeches / ceremonies10/11 91% Official speeches / ceremonies116/215 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies117/215 54% Y Y Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Dinner on November 12th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Dinner on November 12th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Dinner on November 12th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

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