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Trump hosts Saudi Arabia for dinner

What will Trump say during his dinner with Saudi Arabia?

Held

Tue, Nov 18

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Dinner With Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman bin Abd al-Aziz Al Saud of Saudi Arabia

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

10 said 18 not said of 28 words

Not held 7 of 90 past Trump events, 3 of 51 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 218 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore38¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies22/218 10% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies14/218 6% —
NO Before startBefore— All5/12 42% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% Official speeches / ceremonies16/218 7% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore67¢ All62/73 85% Speeches / ceremonies37/43 86% Official speeches / ceremonies143/218 66% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore30¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies16/218 7% —
NO Before startBefore31¢ All29/49 59% Speeches / ceremonies18/29 62% Official speeches / ceremonies116/218 53% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore46¢ All36/45 80% Speeches / ceremonies24/32 75% Official speeches / ceremonies120/218 55% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies29/218 13% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All2/26 8% Speeches / ceremonies2/15 13% Official speeches / ceremonies12/218 6% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore53¢ All26/34 76% Speeches / ceremonies14/20 70% Official speeches / ceremonies107/218 49% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All8/14 57% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies70/218 32% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All9/13 69% Speeches / ceremonies5/8 63% Official speeches / ceremonies70/218 32% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore31¢ All20/31 65% Speeches / ceremonies12/19 63% Official speeches / ceremonies124/218 57% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All2/9 22% Speeches / ceremonies0/6 0% Official speeches / ceremonies1/218 0% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies42/218 19% Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/218 7% Y Y N
YES Before startBefore48¢ All27/50 54% Speeches / ceremonies20/28 71% Official speeches / ceremonies73/218 33% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All7/18 39% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies31/218 14% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All7/11 64% Speeches / ceremonies5/7 71% Official speeches / ceremonies73/218 33% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All15/25 60% Speeches / ceremonies9/13 69% Official speeches / ceremonies81/218 37% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore69¢ All10/17 59% Speeches / ceremonies5/8 63% Official speeches / ceremonies62/218 28% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore46¢ All23/35 66% Speeches / ceremonies12/19 63% Official speeches / ceremonies67/218 31% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All10/12 83% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies73/218 33% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All15/39 38% Speeches / ceremonies6/21 29% Official speeches / ceremonies24/218 11% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All5/10 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/7 57% Official speeches / ceremonies40/218 18% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All35/43 81% Speeches / ceremonies21/24 88% Official speeches / ceremonies120/218 55% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All18/20 90% Speeches / ceremonies12/14 86% Official speeches / ceremonies118/218 54% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All4/17 24% Speeches / ceremonies1/10 10% Official speeches / ceremonies56/218 26% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of dinner with the Crown Prince and Prime Minister of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the dinner with the Crown Prince and Prime Minister of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the dinner with the Crown Prince and Prime Minister of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

All cases of this speaker