mentions

JD Vance joins The Ingraham Angle

What will JD Vance say during Fox News: The Ingraham Angle?

Held

Wed, Aug 5

7:00 PM ET /

JD Vance

Interview

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Also now Trump +2 later

8 said 9 not said of 17 words

Not held 3 of 52 past JD Vance events, 0 of 18 interviews

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Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore30¢ All5/13 38% Interviews2/8 25% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All13/27 48% Interviews2/12 17% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All28/44 64% Interviews10/17 59% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore52¢ All10/16 63% Interviews4/5 80% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore75¢ All9/20 45% Interviews5/11 45% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All12/26 46% Interviews3/14 21% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All4/9 44% Interviews2/5 40% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore41¢ All15/24 63% Interviews6/10 60% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All3/6 50% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore53¢ All5/25 20% Interviews3/10 30% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All2/4 50% Interviews1/3 33% small n Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All7/16 44% Interviews4/10 40% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All0/4 0% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore25¢ All11/18 61% Interviews3/4 75% small n N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All2/2 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All2/2 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — JD Vance must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Fox News: The Ingraham Angle, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Fox News: The Ingraham Angle will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: The Ingraham Angle will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — JD Vance must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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