mentions

JD Vance joins CBS Sunday Morning

What will JD Vance say during CBS Sunday Morning?

Held

Sun, Jun 14

9:00 AM ET /

JD Vance

Interview

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Also now Trump +2 later

1 said 16 not said of 17 words

Not held 3 of 40 past JD Vance events, 0 of 10 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore14¢ All2/2 100% Interviews— Y Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All10/17 59% Interviews1/5 20% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All3/21 14% Interviews0/3 0% small n Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All2/21 10% Interviews0/6 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All24/32 75% Interviews8/9 89% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore66¢ All1/2 50% Interviews0/1 0% small n N Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All0/2 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore75¢ All19/25 76% Interviews5/7 71% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All12/17 71% Interviews3/6 50% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore66¢ All2/5 40% Interviews1/2 50% small n N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All13/18 72% Interviews5/6 83% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore28¢ All2/4 50% Interviews1/2 50% small n Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore78¢ All1/7 14% Interviews0/3 0% small n N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore39¢ All7/18 39% Interviews4/6 67% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore78¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of CBS Sunday Morning, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the CBS Sunday Morning will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the CBS Sunday Morning will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker