mentions

JD Vance joins The View

What will JD Vance say during The View?

Held

Tue, Jun 16

11:00 AM ET /

JD Vance

Interview

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6 said 11 not said of 17 words

Not held 3 of 43 past JD Vance events, 0 of 13 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore20¢ All2/5 40% Interviews0/3 0% small n N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore38¢ All10/20 50% Interviews1/8 13% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All3/24 13% Interviews0/6 0% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All3/24 13% Interviews1/9 11% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore51¢ All24/35 69% Interviews8/12 67% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All1/3 33% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All0/3 0% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All19/28 68% Interviews5/10 50% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All12/20 60% Interviews3/9 33% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore62¢ All2/6 33% Interviews1/3 33% small n N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All13/19 68% Interviews5/7 71% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All2/5 40% Interviews1/3 33% small n N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All2/10 20% Interviews1/6 17% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore50¢ All10/21 48% Interviews7/9 78% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All3/4 75% Interviews2/3 67% small n Y Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of The View, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The View will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The View will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker