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Trump signs Executive Orders

What will Trump say during his Executive Order Announcement?

Held

Thu, Nov 13

2:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Signing an Executive Order on Foster Care Improvement Efforts

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

6 said 17 not said of 23 words

Not held 7 of 86 past Trump events, 3 of 49 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 216 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore12¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies12/216 6% Y
YES Before startBefore17¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies15/216 7% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore69¢ All59/69 86% Speeches / ceremonies36/41 88% Official speeches / ceremonies142/216 66% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore32¢ All28/47 60% Speeches / ceremonies18/28 64% Official speeches / ceremonies115/216 53% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All34/41 83% Speeches / ceremonies23/30 77% Official speeches / ceremonies119/216 55% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies50/216 23% Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All5/9 56% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies28/216 13% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All2/22 9% Speeches / ceremonies2/13 15% Official speeches / ceremonies12/216 6% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All22/30 73% Speeches / ceremonies12/18 67% Official speeches / ceremonies105/216 49% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore62¢ All7/11 64% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies70/216 32% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies39/216 18% —
NO Before startBefore54¢ All18/27 67% Speeches / ceremonies11/17 65% Official speeches / ceremonies123/216 57% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/216 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore47¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies65/216 30% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/216 2% Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All26/46 57% Speeches / ceremonies20/26 77% Official speeches / ceremonies73/216 34% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All13/21 62% Speeches / ceremonies9/11 82% Official speeches / ceremonies81/216 38% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies6/216 3% —
NO Before startBefore81¢ All14/35 40% Speeches / ceremonies6/19 32% Official speeches / ceremonies24/216 11% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All5/9 56% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies39/216 18% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore90¢ All33/40 83% Speeches / ceremonies20/22 91% Official speeches / ceremonies119/216 55% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All15/16 94% Speeches / ceremonies11/12 92% Official speeches / ceremonies117/216 54% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies21/216 10% Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcements, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcements will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcements will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

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