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Trump Announcement

What will Trump say during America’s Navy 250?

Held

Sun, Oct 5

3:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on the Navy 250 Celebration at Norfolk Naval Station, Virginia

Also now +1 later

14 said 11 not said of 25 words

Not held 2 of 42 past Trump events, 0 of 24 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 181 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore56¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies25/181 14% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore78¢ All28/30 93% Speeches / ceremonies18/19 95% Official speeches / ceremonies122/181 67% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore73¢ All10/16 63% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies100/181 55% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies21/181 12% —
YES Before startBefore53¢ All14/17 82% Speeches / ceremonies11/14 79% Official speeches / ceremonies102/181 56% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All5/7 71% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies87/181 48% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All6/9 67% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies103/181 57% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/181 1% —
NO Before startBefore50¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies50/181 28% —
NO Before startBefore61¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/181 7% Y
NO Before startBefore43¢ All4/4 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies31/181 17% Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore59¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies15/181 8% —
YES Before startBefore77¢ All6/9 67% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies54/181 30% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore35¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/181 6% Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/181 1% —
YES Before startBefore72¢ All12/17 71% Speeches / ceremonies5/8 63% Official speeches / ceremonies53/181 29% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/181 0% —
NO Before startBefore39¢ All4/11 36% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies88/181 49% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/181 4% —
NO Before startBefore53¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/181 2% —
YES Before startBefore80¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/181 9% Y N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/181 7% —
NO Before startBefore68¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies12/181 7% N
NO Before startBefore36¢ All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies73/181 40% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies37/181 20% N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks at America’s Navy 250, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks at America’s Navy 250 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Remarks at America’s Navy 250 will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.