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Trump meets with NATO

What will Trump say during the NATO meeting?

Held

Wed, Oct 22

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Secretary General Mark Rutte of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

11 said 13 not said of 24 words

Not held 2 of 60 past Trump events, 0 of 10 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 70 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore22¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings4/70 6% —
YES Before startBefore66¢ All43/48 90% Meetings8/8 100% Official meetings48/70 69% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore59¢ All19/28 68% Meetings4/6 67% Official meetings35/70 50% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All21/25 84% Meetings4/4 100% small n Official meetings42/70 60% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore38¢ All2/6 33% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings8/70 11% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All2/4 50% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings11/70 16% N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings17/70 24% Y
YES Before startBefore36¢ All5/9 56% Meetings2/3 67% small n Official meetings29/70 41% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Meetings— Official meetings0/70 0% —
NO Before startBefore65¢ All0/2 0% Meetings— Official meetings31/70 44% N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All17/25 68% Meetings4/6 67% Official meetings13/70 19% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All0/8 0% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings4/70 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All3/5 60% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings7/70 10% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings7/70 10% —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All0/4 0% Meetings— Official meetings3/70 4% N N N N
YES Before startBefore57¢ All15/21 71% Meetings3/3 100% small n Official meetings28/70 40% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All4/14 29% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings22/70 31% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All9/20 45% Meetings1/3 33% small n Official meetings34/70 49% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All8/16 50% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings48/70 69% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All5/11 45% Meetings2/3 67% small n Official meetings7/70 10% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore42¢ All8/19 42% Meetings4/6 67% Official meetings7/70 10% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All1/1 100% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings4/70 6% Y
NO Before startBefore48¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings41/70 59% Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All9/17 53% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings48/70 69% Y Y Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of meeting with the Secretary General of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization on October 22nd, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the meeting with the Secretary General of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization on October 22nd will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the meeting with the Secretary General of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization on October 22nd will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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