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What will Trump say during his signing of the Presidential Memorandum?

Held

Mon, Sep 15

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Signing a Memorandum on Restoring Law and Order in Memphis, Tennessee

Also now JD Vance +1 later

16 said 9 not said of 25 words

Not held 2 of 33 past Trump events, 0 of 18 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 169 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore25¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/169 1% —
YES Before startBefore78¢ All21/23 91% Speeches / ceremonies14/15 93% Official speeches / ceremonies112/169 66% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/169 2% —
YES Before startBefore67¢ All13/15 87% Speeches / ceremonies10/12 83% Official speeches / ceremonies95/169 56% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore43¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies36/169 21% —
YES Before startBefore70¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies46/169 27% N N
YES Before startBefore69¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies79/169 47% N
YES Before startBefore51¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies37/169 22% —
NO Before startBefore39¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies37/169 22% —
YES Before startBefore40¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies57/169 34% N Y N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies24/169 14% —
NO Before startBefore34¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies57/169 34% N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies27/169 16% —
NO Before startBefore34¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies36/169 21% Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies55/169 33% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore50¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies73/169 43% —
YES Before startBefore10¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/169 0% —
NO Before startBefore58¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies89/169 53% —
NO Before startBefore20¢ All1/7 14% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies22/169 13% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All12/13 92% Speeches / ceremonies6/6 100% Official speeches / ceremonies91/169 54% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies30/169 18% —
YES Before startBefore77¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies41/169 24% —
YES Before startBefore78¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/169 7% —
NO Before startBefore52¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies26/169 15% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies35/169 21% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of Trump signs a Presidential Memorandum in the Oval Office at 4:00 PM, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Trump signs a Presidential Memorandum in the Oval Office at 4:00 PM will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Trump signs a Presidential Memorandum in the Oval Office at 4:00 PM will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.