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Trump hosts a MAGA Dinner

What will Trump say during the MAGA Dinner?

Not held (all words NO)

Sat, Nov 1

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump

0 said 24 not said of 24 words

Not held 3 of 70 past Trump events, 0 of 40 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 206 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore13¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies56/206 27% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All3/9 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies27/206 13% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/206 7% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All48/57 84% Speeches / ceremonies30/35 86% Official speeches / ceremonies135/206 66% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All24/37 65% Speeches / ceremonies16/23 70% Official speeches / ceremonies113/206 55% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All27/32 84% Speeches / ceremonies19/24 79% Official speeches / ceremonies114/206 55% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All1/13 8% Speeches / ceremonies1/8 13% Official speeches / ceremonies11/206 5% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All16/23 70% Speeches / ceremonies9/14 64% Official speeches / ceremonies97/206 47% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies65/206 32% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All15/22 68% Speeches / ceremonies9/13 69% Official speeches / ceremonies118/206 57% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All22/34 65% Speeches / ceremonies17/20 85% Official speeches / ceremonies69/206 33% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All6/12 50% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies77/206 37% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/206 2% N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies28/206 14% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All7/10 70% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies69/206 33% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All0/6 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies9/206 4% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All8/10 80% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies68/206 33% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All6/10 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies50/206 24% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All10/26 38% Speeches / ceremonies4/14 29% Official speeches / ceremonies19/206 9% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies36/206 17% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All26/32 81% Speeches / ceremonies16/17 94% Official speeches / ceremonies113/206 55% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All6/7 86% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies110/206 53% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies113/206 55% N N Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All3/15 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/10 10% Official speeches / ceremonies26/206 13% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of MAGA Inc. Dinner on November 1st, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the MAGA Inc. Dinner on November 1st will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the MAGA Inc. Dinner on November 1st will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

All cases of this speaker