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Trump's Veterans Day address

What will Trump say during his Veterans Day remarks in Arlington??

Held

Tue, Nov 11

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Veterans Day Ceremony in Arlington, Virginia

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance

12 said 10 not said of 22 words

Not held 6 of 82 past Trump events, 2 of 46 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 214 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore81¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies49/214 23% N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore38¢ All56/66 85% Speeches / ceremonies34/39 87% Official speeches / ceremonies140/214 65% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore42¢ All28/45 62% Speeches / ceremonies18/27 67% Official speeches / ceremonies115/214 54% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies45/214 21% —
NO Before startBefore32¢ All34/39 87% Speeches / ceremonies23/28 82% Official speeches / ceremonies119/214 56% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All4/6 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies27/214 13% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All21/28 75% Speeches / ceremonies11/16 69% Official speeches / ceremonies104/214 49% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All18/25 72% Speeches / ceremonies11/15 73% Official speeches / ceremonies123/214 57% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies66/214 31% Y N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies155/214 72% Y
YES Before startBefore27¢ All25/43 58% Speeches / ceremonies19/24 79% Official speeches / ceremonies72/214 34% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All9/13 69% Speeches / ceremonies7/8 88% Official speeches / ceremonies72/214 34% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All0/7 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies9/214 4% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore31¢ All21/32 66% Speeches / ceremonies11/18 61% Official speeches / ceremonies65/214 30% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All7/20 35% Speeches / ceremonies3/10 30% Official speeches / ceremonies66/214 31% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore67¢ All9/11 82% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies71/214 33% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All14/33 42% Speeches / ceremonies6/18 33% Official speeches / ceremonies23/214 11% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore33¢ All32/38 84% Speeches / ceremonies19/20 95% Official speeches / ceremonies118/214 55% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All13/14 93% Speeches / ceremonies9/10 90% Official speeches / ceremonies115/214 54% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore32¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies116/214 54% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All4/16 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/9 11% Official speeches / ceremonies55/214 26% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies49/214 23% Y Y Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks at the Arlington National Cemetery, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the remarks at the Arlington National Cemetery will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the remarks at the Arlington National Cemetery will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

All cases of this speaker