mentions

Trump has dinner with Japanese business leaders

What will Trump say during dinner with Business Leaders in Japan?

Held

Tue, Oct 28

6:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Dinner With Business Leaders in Tokyo, Japan

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

19 said 4 not said of 23 words

Not held 2 of 66 past Trump events, 0 of 37 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 199 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore68¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies26/199 13% —
YES Before startBefore6¢ All46/54 85% Speeches / ceremonies28/32 88% Official speeches / ceremonies132/199 66% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore22¢ All22/34 65% Speeches / ceremonies14/20 70% Official speeches / ceremonies110/199 55% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore52¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies89/199 45% —
YES Before startBefore61¢ All24/29 83% Speeches / ceremonies16/21 76% Official speeches / ceremonies111/199 56% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore55¢ All16/22 73% Speeches / ceremonies9/13 69% Official speeches / ceremonies96/199 48% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore91¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies63/199 32% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All8/15 53% Speeches / ceremonies4/7 57% Official speeches / ceremonies74/199 37% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore54¢ All13/19 68% Speeches / ceremonies7/10 70% Official speeches / ceremonies114/199 57% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore45¢ All19/31 61% Speeches / ceremonies14/17 82% Official speeches / ceremonies65/199 33% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All3/9 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies73/199 37% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies14/199 7% —
YES Before startBefore77¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies26/199 13% N Y N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/199 2% N Y
YES Before startBefore15¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies6/199 3% —
YES Before startBefore16¢ All10/25 40% Speeches / ceremonies5/13 38% Official speeches / ceremonies68/199 34% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore42¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies25/199 13% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies10/199 5% Y
YES Before startBefore36¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies31/199 16% —
YES Before startBefore76¢ All24/30 80% Speeches / ceremonies14/15 93% Official speeches / ceremonies108/199 54% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/199 2% N
YES Before startBefore38¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies106/199 53% Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore21¢ All10/20 50% Speeches / ceremonies5/13 38% Official speeches / ceremonies79/199 40% N N Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Reception and Dinner with Business Leaders in Japan on October 28th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Reception and Dinner with Business Leaders in Japan on October 28th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Reception and Dinner with Business Leaders in Japan on October 28th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

All cases of this speaker