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Trump joins the WH Press Briefing

What will Trump say during the White House press briefing?

Held

Tue, Jan 20

1:00 PM ET /

Trump

Press conference

Official transcript Remarks During a Press Briefing With White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt and an Exchange With Reporters

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Also now Trump +2 later

13 said 1 not said of 14 words

Not held 12 of 134 past Trump events, 2 of 11 press conferences

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Press conferences Official press conferences · 14 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore— All12/32 38% Press conferences— Official press conferences1/14 7% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All89/109 82% Press conferences7/8 88% Official press conferences12/14 86% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All40/63 63% Press conferences2/3 67% small n Official press conferences7/14 50% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore— All49/70 70% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences7/14 50% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All1/4 25% Press conferences— Official press conferences7/14 50% N N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All42/56 75% Press conferences3/3 100% small n Official press conferences5/14 36% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All15/21 71% Press conferences— Official press conferences2/14 14% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Press conferences— Official press conferences0/14 0% —
YES Before startBefore— All2/6 33% Press conferences— Official press conferences0/14 0% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore— All2/4 50% Press conferences— Official press conferences8/14 57% N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All51/85 60% Press conferences1/4 25% small n Official press conferences5/14 36% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All14/17 82% Press conferences3/4 75% small n Official press conferences8/14 57% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All0/2 0% Press conferences— Official press conferences4/14 29% N N
YES Before startBefore— All35/52 67% Press conferences5/6 83% Official press conferences9/14 64% N N Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official press conferences: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Press conferences. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Previous recordings aired during this event will notcount.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of White House press briefing on January 20th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the White House press briefing on January 20th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the White House press briefing on January 20th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Previous recordings aired during this event will notcount.

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