mentions.tools

We moved to mentions.tools. Your data stays here until you .

Trump delivers remarks at the House GOP Member Retreat

What will Trump say during his remarks at the House GOP Member Retreat?

Held

Tue, Jan 6

10:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at the House Republican Members Retreat

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

15 said 5 not said of 20 words

Not held 11 of 124 past Trump events, 7 of 73 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 247 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore71¢ All10/23 43% Speeches / ceremonies7/13 54% Official speeches / ceremonies24/247 10% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore63¢ All8/15 53% Speeches / ceremonies7/10 70% Official speeches / ceremonies75/247 30% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All83/101 82% Speeches / ceremonies48/59 81% Official speeches / ceremonies159/247 64% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All8/13 62% Speeches / ceremonies6/9 67% Official speeches / ceremonies57/247 23% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All38/61 62% Speeches / ceremonies22/35 63% Official speeches / ceremonies133/247 54% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All46/67 69% Speeches / ceremonies30/44 68% Official speeches / ceremonies131/247 53% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All2/45 4% Speeches / ceremonies2/28 7% Official speeches / ceremonies12/247 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All37/50 74% Speeches / ceremonies23/31 74% Official speeches / ceremonies125/247 51% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore60¢ All10/14 71% Speeches / ceremonies7/11 64% Official speeches / ceremonies26/247 11% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore65¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies37/247 15% —
YES Before startBefore79¢ All9/13 69% Speeches / ceremonies6/8 75% Official speeches / ceremonies33/247 13% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All45/78 58% Speeches / ceremonies34/46 74% Official speeches / ceremonies91/247 37% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All13/26 50% Speeches / ceremonies9/16 56% Official speeches / ceremonies84/247 34% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All5/10 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies107/247 43% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All1/18 6% Speeches / ceremonies1/9 11% Official speeches / ceremonies4/247 2% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All31/45 69% Speeches / ceremonies17/25 68% Official speeches / ceremonies78/247 32% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore89¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies101/247 41% N N
NO Before startBefore67¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/247 5% N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies44/247 18% Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All14/27 52% Speeches / ceremonies8/19 42% Official speeches / ceremonies96/247 39% Y N N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks at the House GOP Member Retreat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the remarks at the House GOP Member Retreat will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the remarks at the House GOP Member Retreat will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

All cases of this speaker