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Trump call service members on Christmas Eve

What will Trump say during his Christmas Eve service member calls?

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Wed, Dec 24

5:30 PM ET /

Trump

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Official transcript Remarks During a Christmas Eve Telephone Call With Deployed United States Servicemembers From Palm Beach, Florida

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Also now Trump +2 later

2 said 18 not said of 20 words

Not held 11 of 120 past Trump events

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Official transcripts · 464 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore35¢ All10/20 50% Official transcripts35/464 8% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All80/97 82% Official transcripts278/464 60% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore70¢ All37/59 63% Official transcripts217/464 47% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore55¢ All44/63 70% Official transcripts228/464 49% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All1/10 10% Official transcripts22/464 5% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore58¢ All13/26 50% Official transcripts141/464 30% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore43¢ All0/1 0% Official transcripts41/464 9% N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All30/45 67% Official transcripts228/464 49% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All2/3 67% Official transcripts120/464 26% Y Y N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All45/75 60% Official transcripts125/464 27% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All13/24 54% Official transcripts140/464 30% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All20/39 51% Official transcripts143/464 31% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All1/15 7% Official transcripts5/464 1% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All28/41 68% Official transcripts138/464 30% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All3/4 75% Official transcripts86/464 19% Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All13/27 48% Official transcripts97/464 21% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All0/1 0% Official transcripts0/464 0% N
YES Before startBefore69¢ All51/67 76% Official transcripts249/464 54% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore59¢ All33/36 92% Official transcripts221/464 48% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All3/21 14% Official transcripts40/464 9% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official transcripts: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Service Member Calls on December 24th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Service Member Calls on December 24th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Service Member Calls on December 24th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

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