mentions

Trump speaks in North Carolina

What will Trump say during his remarks in North Carolina?

Held

Fri, Dec 19

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on the National Economy in Rocky Mount, North Carolina

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

20 said 9 not said of 29 words

Not held 10 of 117 past Trump events, 6 of 70 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 241 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore65¢ All7/14 50% Speeches / ceremonies6/9 67% Official speeches / ceremonies72/241 30% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All6/18 33% Speeches / ceremonies5/11 45% Official speeches / ceremonies42/241 17% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies10/241 4% —
YES Before startBefore97¢ All78/95 82% Speeches / ceremonies46/57 81% Official speeches / ceremonies156/241 65% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All36/58 62% Speeches / ceremonies21/34 62% Official speeches / ceremonies130/241 54% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies9/241 4% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All2/42 5% Speeches / ceremonies2/27 7% Official speeches / ceremonies12/241 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All1/7 14% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies4/241 2% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore42¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies24/241 10% Y N Y
NO Before startBefore96¢ All12/24 50% Speeches / ceremonies6/14 43% Official speeches / ceremonies77/241 32% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All6/10 60% Speeches / ceremonies5/9 56% Official speeches / ceremonies24/241 10% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All2/16 13% Speeches / ceremonies0/10 0% Official speeches / ceremonies1/241 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All6/15 40% Speeches / ceremonies3/11 27% Official speeches / ceremonies72/241 30% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies76/241 32% Y N
NO Before startBefore84¢ All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies19/241 8% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All43/73 59% Speeches / ceremonies32/44 73% Official speeches / ceremonies88/241 37% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore81¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies71/241 29% N N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All12/22 55% Speeches / ceremonies8/14 57% Official speeches / ceremonies83/241 34% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies104/241 43% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/13 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/7 0% Official speeches / ceremonies3/241 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore76¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies64/241 27% Y N Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies64/241 27% Y N Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All12/26 46% Speeches / ceremonies4/14 29% Official speeches / ceremonies57/241 24% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All2/7 29% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies23/241 10% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore78¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/241 4% Y
YES Before startBefore97¢ All49/65 75% Speeches / ceremonies30/38 79% Official speeches / ceremonies132/241 55% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies43/241 18% Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All1/9 11% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies16/241 7% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore42¢ All5/22 23% Speeches / ceremonies2/14 14% Official speeches / ceremonies61/241 25% N Y N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks in Rocky Mount, NC, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks in Rocky Mount, NC will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Remarks in Rocky Mount, NC will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

Cases

All cases of this speaker