mentions

Trump holds press conference on Venezuela

What will Trump say during the news conference at Mar-a-Lago?

Held

Sat, Jan 3

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Press conference

Official transcript The President's News Conference in Palm Beach, Florida

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Also now Trump +2 later

20 said 7 not said of 27 words

Not held 11 of 123 past Trump events, 2 of 10 press conferences

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Press conferences Official press conferences · 13 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore73¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences2/13 15% —
YES Before startBefore69¢ All82/100 82% Press conferences6/7 86% Official press conferences11/13 85% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences1/13 8% —
YES Before startBefore82¢ All37/60 62% Press conferences1/2 50% small n Official press conferences6/13 46% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All1/3 33% Press conferences— Official press conferences0/13 0% N N Y
YES Before startBefore67¢ All45/66 68% Press conferences— Official press conferences6/13 46% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences— Official press conferences4/13 31% N
YES Before startBefore34¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences0/13 0% —
NO Before startBefore59¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences0/13 0% —
YES Before startBefore77¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences0/13 0% —
YES Before startBefore96¢ All17/24 71% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences5/13 38% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore75¢ All3/9 33% Press conferences— Official press conferences1/13 8% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore48¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences2/13 15% —
YES Before startBefore77¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences0/13 0% —
NO Before startBefore42¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences1/13 8% —
NO Before startBefore48¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences0/13 0% —
YES Before startBefore78¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences— Official press conferences5/13 38% N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All0/9 0% Press conferences0/1 0% small n Official press conferences0/13 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore50¢ All30/44 68% Press conferences4/5 80% Official press conferences8/13 62% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All7/22 32% Press conferences0/4 0% small n Official press conferences8/13 62% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences2/13 15% —
YES Before startBefore93¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences7/13 54% —
YES Before startBefore65¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences1/13 8% —
YES Before startBefore50¢ All14/26 54% Press conferences1/3 33% small n Official press conferences9/13 69% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences3/13 23% —
YES Before startBefore81¢ All3/4 75% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences12/13 92% Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences5/13 38% Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official press conferences: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Press conferences. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of news conference at Mar-a-Lago (originally scheduled for 11 a.m. ET), then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the news conference at Mar-a-Lago (originally scheduled for 11 a.m. ET) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the news conference at Mar-a-Lago (originally scheduled for 11 a.m. ET) will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. Previous recordings aired during this event will count.

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