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JD Vance participates in a Fox News town hall

What will JD Vance say during his Fox News town hall?

Held

Thu, Oct 29

8:00 PM ET /

JD Vance

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

12 said 7 not said of 19 words

Not held 3 of 79 past JD Vance events, 0 of 24 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore54¢ All19/36 53% Interviews4/14 29% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All30/53 57% Interviews6/18 33% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All8/55 15% Interviews3/15 20% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All10/54 19% Interviews1/16 6% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All49/70 70% Interviews13/22 59% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All2/11 18% Interviews0/7 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore23¢ All11/30 37% Interviews2/4 50% small n N N N N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All0/6 0% Interviews0/3 0% small n N N N N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All44/54 81% Interviews12/17 71% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All31/49 63% Interviews9/20 45% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All30/49 61% Interviews10/15 67% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All14/27 52% Interviews3/4 75% small n N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All10/16 63% Interviews7/9 78% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All6/34 18% Interviews4/15 27% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore28¢ All7/12 58% Interviews2/4 50% small n N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore67¢ All1/4 25% Interviews1/1 100% small n N N N Y
NO Before startBefore90¢ All19/40 48% Interviews8/15 53% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All9/37 24% Interviews2/7 29% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All11/18 61% Interviews7/12 58% N Y Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Fox News: town hall with JD Vance originally scheduled for October 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Fox News: town hall with JD Vance originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: town hall with JD Vance originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
JD Vance speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker