mentions

JD Vance holds a press conference

What will JD Vance say during his press conference?

Held

Thu, Sep 3

1:00 PM ET /

JD Vance

Press conference

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Also now Trump +2 later

18 said 9 not said of 27 words

Not held 3 of 58 past JD Vance events, 1 of 7 press conferences

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Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Press conferences Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore43¢ All5/16 31% Press conferences1/1 100% small n N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore46¢ All17/33 52% Press conferences3/3 100% small n N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore25¢ All5/34 15% Press conferences2/3 67% small n Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All4/34 12% Press conferences0/2 0% small n N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All12/21 57% Press conferences— N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore74¢ All31/49 63% Press conferences2/5 40% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All2/7 29% Press conferences2/2 100% small n N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All7/11 64% Press conferences1/1 100% small n N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All26/36 72% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All2/5 40% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All11/26 42% Press conferences0/1 0% small n Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All17/32 53% Press conferences2/3 67% small n Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore39¢ All10/24 42% Press conferences3/4 75% small n N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All19/30 63% Press conferences2/3 67% small n Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore41¢ All7/11 64% Press conferences— N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore82¢ All0/2 0% Press conferences— N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All6/28 21% Press conferences2/4 50% small n N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All0/4 0% Press conferences— N N N N
YES Before startBefore55¢ All7/15 47% Press conferences— N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All11/22 50% Press conferences— Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All0/17 0% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N N N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore67¢ All7/22 32% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All14/29 48% Press conferences3/4 75% small n Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All8/13 62% Press conferences— N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore20¢ All1/10 10% Press conferences0/2 0% small n N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Press conferences. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of press conference originally scheduled for September 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the press conference originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the press conference originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
JD Vance speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker