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JD Vance speaks on fraud in St. Cloud

What will JD Vance say during his Fraud Press Conference?

Not held (DNQ)

Fri, Oct 30

11:30 AM ET /

JD Vance

Press conference

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

0 said 25 not said of 25 words

Not held 3 of 80 past JD Vance events, 1 of 9 press conferences

Choose events
Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Press conferences Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore8¢ All20/37 54% Press conferences3/3 100% small n Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All31/54 57% Press conferences4/4 100% small n Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All9/56 16% Press conferences3/5 60% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore2¢ All10/55 18% Press conferences0/4 0% small n N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All1/6 17% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N N N N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All50/71 70% Press conferences3/7 43% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All12/23 52% Press conferences4/5 80% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All12/31 39% Press conferences2/3 67% small n Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All1/7 14% Press conferences0/1 0% small n Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All45/55 82% Press conferences4/4 100% small n Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All8/22 36% Press conferences1/3 33% small n N N N N N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All27/42 64% Press conferences2/3 67% small n Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All2/9 22% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All18/43 42% Press conferences4/6 67% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All2/17 12% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N N N N N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All31/50 62% Press conferences3/5 60% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All— Press conferences— —
NO Before startBefore11¢ All8/13 62% Press conferences1/2 50% small n Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All3/32 9% Press conferences0/3 0% small n N N N N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All4/13 31% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All12/23 52% Press conferences2/5 40% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All4/5 80% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All12/19 63% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All2/3 67% Press conferences1/1 100% small n N Y Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All11/28 39% Press conferences1/4 25% small n N Y Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Press conferences. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Fraud Task Force Press Conference in St. Cloud, Minnesota originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Fraud Task Force Press Conference in St. Cloud, Minnesota originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fraud Task Force Press Conference in St. Cloud, Minnesota originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
JD Vance speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker