mentions

JD Vance delivers remarks in Olathe

What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?

Held

Mon, Sep 14

1:00 PM ET /

JD Vance

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

12 said 13 not said of 25 words

Not held 3 of 61 past JD Vance events, 2 of 30 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Speeches / ceremonies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore56¢ All7/19 37% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore56¢ All19/36 53% Speeches / ceremonies11/16 69% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All6/37 16% Speeches / ceremonies2/19 11% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All4/37 11% Speeches / ceremonies3/19 16% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore62¢ All13/23 57% Speeches / ceremonies11/14 79% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore49¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
YES Before startBefore93¢ All34/52 65% Speeches / ceremonies19/25 76% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore50¢ All10/18 56% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All9/14 64% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All29/39 74% Speeches / ceremonies17/21 81% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All14/29 48% Speeches / ceremonies8/13 62% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All19/34 56% Speeches / ceremonies10/13 77% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All12/26 46% Speeches / ceremonies6/12 50% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore72¢ All21/33 64% Speeches / ceremonies10/16 63% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All8/12 67% Speeches / ceremonies5/8 63% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore41¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
NO Before startBefore12¢ All0/6 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All9/17 53% Speeches / ceremonies7/14 50% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All12/25 48% Speeches / ceremonies4/11 36% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore53¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Y Y
NO Before startBefore75¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n N Y Y
NO Before startBefore59¢ All8/24 33% Speeches / ceremonies4/15 27% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All7/8 88% Speeches / ceremonies7/8 88% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All3/13 23% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% N Y Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Webco remarks in Olathe originally scheduled for September 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Webco remarks in Olathe originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Webco remarks in Olathe originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
JD Vance speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker