mentions

Case library

A case is a settled market worth learning from: what was said, how Kalshi settled it and the rule behind the result. The results come from Kalshi’s data. The reasons come from public sources or from traders’ reports; each case says which.

  • Confirmed the result is in Kalshi’s data and a public source confirms the reason.
  • Outcome only the result is in Kalshi’s data; the reason comes from traders’ reports and no public source confirms it.
  • Rule text no dispute: a clause of the rules worth knowing.
All topics 13 Plural and possessive 1 Slash alternatives 1 Compounds 1 Other word forms 3 Numbers 1 Recordings and clips 2 What part counts 4 Events that do not qualify 2 Dates and deadlines 2 Sources and rule changes 1
All speakers 1 Trump 0 Press Secretary 1 JD Vance 0 Zohran Mamdani 0 Bernie Sanders 0 Other speakers 0

1 case

“Affordable / Affordability” settled NO; traders report only the verb “afford” was said

Mar 25, 2026 Outcome only Press Secretary

Events White House Press Briefing

Words Affordable / Affordability

At the White House press briefing of Mar 25, 2026, the market “Affordable / Affordability” settled NO. According to traders’ reports, the press secretary said “afford” but neither listed form; no public transcript confirms this. A Kathy Hochul market a month earlier was listed as “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”, so Kalshi adds the verb when it wants the verb to count.

Takeaway A shared root is not a match: only the listed forms and their plurals and possessives count. A form missing from the slash list is excluded.

Rule in force Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. event rules of Mar 25, 2026

Other word forms Slash alternatives