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Trump makes an announcement

What will Trump say during his announcement?

Held

Tue, Dec 2

2:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Announcing Child Savings Accounts and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

10 said 11 not said of 21 words

Not held 8 of 99 past Trump events, 4 of 55 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 221 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore64¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/221 7% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All69/81 85% Speeches / ceremonies39/46 85% Official speeches / ceremonies145/221 66% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore63¢ All33/54 61% Speeches / ceremonies19/31 61% Official speeches / ceremonies118/221 53% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore42¢ All39/50 78% Speeches / ceremonies26/34 76% Official speeches / ceremonies122/221 55% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All2/7 29% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/221 16% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All29/37 78% Speeches / ceremonies16/22 73% Official speeches / ceremonies110/221 50% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All25/37 68% Speeches / ceremonies14/22 64% Official speeches / ceremonies126/221 57% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All7/10 70% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies21/221 10% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All32/57 56% Speeches / ceremonies23/31 74% Official speeches / ceremonies76/221 34% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All9/17 53% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies74/221 33% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All17/30 57% Speeches / ceremonies11/15 73% Official speeches / ceremonies84/221 38% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All10/20 50% Speeches / ceremonies5/10 50% Official speeches / ceremonies62/221 28% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore32¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/221 1% N N N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All7/21 33% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies38/221 17% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore33¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies27/221 12% —
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/221 2% —
YES Before startBefore72¢ All5/12 42% Speeches / ceremonies4/8 50% Official speeches / ceremonies41/221 19% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All40/51 78% Speeches / ceremonies23/27 85% Official speeches / ceremonies122/221 55% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All23/26 88% Speeches / ceremonies14/16 88% Official speeches / ceremonies121/221 55% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All12/22 55% Speeches / ceremonies6/14 43% Official speeches / ceremonies85/221 38% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore63¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies49/221 22% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on December 2nd, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement on December 2nd will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Announcement on December 2nd will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

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